A nerdy look at Chelsea’s xG discrepancy

Where does the truth lie?

As ever, there are two realities. Let’s call them “Normal World” and “Nerd World”.

In Normal World, Chelsea are flying. The scrappy 1-0 victory over Brentford was the classic Sign Of A Good Team: winning when you’re not playing well. Chelsea Know How To Win, seeing off a prettier but less shrewd Manchester City team in the Champions League final and cont…